Middle-aged people, and not just the elderly, have a dramatically higher risk of dying or developing serious illness from COVID-19, new research from Britain showed Tuesday.The findings came in a new comprehensive analysis of virus cases in mainland China.Researchers from Britain analyzed more than 3,600 confirmed COVID-19 cases as well as data from hundreds of passengers repatriated from the outbreak city of Wuhan. The authors of the research said that while this was significantly lower than previous estimates, COVID-19 is still several times deadlier than previous pandemic viruses, such as H1N1. “Our estimates can be applied to any country to inform decisions around the best containment policies for COVID-19,” said Azra Ghani, a study co-author from Imperial College London. “There might be outlying cases that get a lot of media attention, but our analysis very clearly shows that at aged 50 and over, hospitalization is much more likely than in those under 50, and a greater proportion of cases are likely to be fatal.”Billions of people have been confined to their homes around the world as governments desperately try to stop the spread of the novel coronavirus. As of 1900 GMT Monday the virus had killed 36,374 people out of 757,940 cases globally.That would mean 4.8 percent of all confirmed COVID-19 infections have proven deadly. But experts stress that without widespread testing it is impossible to know how many people may have become infected and recovered. This means the true mortality rate is likely much lower, in line with The Lancet study and previous research from China. The Lancet study showed that 18.4 percent of patients in their 80s were hospitalized in China. This compared to 4.3 percent for 40 to 49-year-olds and roughly 1 percent for people in their 20s. ‘Wrong path’ According to their modeling, the authors estimate that 50-80 percent of the global population could contract COVID-19 — but that came with several caveats, as modeling can’t account for behavioral changes such as hand washing and social distancing. Devi Sridhar, professor and chair of Global Public Health, at the University of Edinburgh’s Medical School, said that the assumption that most people would become infected was leading governments, including in Britain, to abandon measures that could help slow the pandemic. She tweeted on Tuesday that the models “resulted in the UK giving up on containment too early & assuming everyone will get it. “Planning & preparing for unprecedented testing & using big data/apps for tracing were taken off the table. In my view, we went down the wrong path,” she said. Topics : They found that age was a key determining factor in serious infections, with nearly one in five over-80s requiring hospitalization, compared to around 1 percent among people under 30.Taking into account estimates of the number of cases that may not have been clinically confirmed — that is, mild or asymptomatic infections — the data showed the hospitalization rate of patients in their fifties was 8.2 percent. The study, published in The Lancet Infectious Diseases journal, estimated that the mortality rate from confirmed COVID-19 cases in mainland China was 1.38 percent. If unconfirmed cases were taken into account, the death rate dropped to 0.66 percent.
NARAYAN Ramdhani, Jonathan Mangra and Priyanna Ramdhani advanced to the quarterfinals stage of the Caribbean Badminton International Championships (CAREBACO) currently playing in Aruba. The Guyanese players were all awarded walkovers in the Under-19 singles as the Dominican Republic players were not present at the tournament due to flight problems.No.1 seeded player Narayan Ramdhani got a bye in the first round and was awarded a walkover from Yonatan Linarez of Dominican Republic in the second round.Jonathan Mangra was awarded a walkover from Bryan Anderson Castro of Dominican Republic in the first round and defeated Jade Allman of Trinidad and Tobago: 21-14, 21-18 in the second round while Priyanna Ramdhani got a walkover from Nairoby Abigail Jimenez of Dominican Republic in the first round.In the Under-19 mixed doubles the Ramdhani siblings defeated Efraim Van Der Linden and Thirsa Van Der Linden (Aruba siblings): 21-5, 21-3.Aruba, Dominican Republic, Trinidad & Tobago, Barbados, Suriname and Guyana are the participating teams in the championships.
Chip and the Monks, who were supposed to perform at 4p.m. on Sunday at the First United Methodist Church, 13222 E. Bailey St., canceled their show due to illness. A new date has yet to be decided. For additional information, call (562) 698-0022. Warner on the state of the city WHITTIER – Councilwoman and former mayor Cathy Warner will speak on the “State of the City” at 7:30 p.m. on Wednesday, Nov. 14, at the Whittier Senior Center, 13225 Walnut St. Warner’s talk will include highlights and details about Whittier’s economic development plans and accomplishments. The free presentation is sponsored by the Central East Whittier Property Owners Association during its annual membership meeting. Information: (562) 484-3370. Dinner, dance honors Marines PICO RIVERA – Celebrate the Marines, eat some steak and dance the night away. American Legion Post 341 is honoring the Marine Corps’ 232nd birthday with a rib eye steak dinner from 5-7 p.m. followed by dancing until 11 p.m. on Saturday at the post, 4909 Durfee Ave. A donation of $12 will be accepted but Marines get in free. Information: (562) 695-1558. Illness delays pair’s murder trial LOS ANGELES – The penalty phase of the trial of two men found guilty of killing an elderly La Habra Heights couple was continued to today. A jury will decide this week if Theodore Churchill Shove, 55, and Lewis Hardin, 35, will get the death penalty. The penalty phase was supposed to start Monday at Los Angeles Superior Court but was continued because Shove and one juror fell sick. Shove collapsed in the morning apparently from low blood pressure and was taken to Los Angeles County USC Medical Center, according to deputies. Deputy District Attorney David Walgren said the doctor thinks Shove overmedicated himself. Shove and Hardin were convicted last week of two counts of first-degree murder for the 2001 killings of 81-year-old Hubert “Bert” Souther and his 79-year-old wife, Elizabeth Ann. The jury also found Shove guilty of second-degree burglary, receiving stolen property and three counts of sending a threatening letter for the purpose of extortion. The prosecution said Shove hired Hardin to kill the Southers because he wanted their business, Cal Aero Supply, a surplus hardware and tool business in Paramount. The Southers were found beaten to death in their home in the 2100 block of Ardsheal Drive on Sept. 17, 2001. Calling all crooners for karaoke fun NORWALK – Do you like to sing along to your favorite song? Show off your talent at a Karaoke Cabaret. The free event runs from 2-4:30 p.m. Tuesday, Nov. 20 at the Norwalk Senior Center, 14040 San Antonio Drive. The songbook is available at the front desk of the senior center. The event is open to anyone 50 or older. Information: (562) 929-5580. Metro Gold Line meetings this week WHITTIER – Residents are invited to attend a series of meetings starting this week about the Eastside Transit Corridor Phase II Project. Officials said the proposed project’s goal is to improve mobility in the corridor by connecting with the Metro Gold Line eastside extension to cities farther east of Los Angeles. The meetings are to solicit public feedback on the project’s purpose, need and potential alternatives as part of an Alternatives Analysis. The meetings will be held: 6:30-8:30 p.m. Thursday at Palm Park, 5703 Palm Ave. in Whittier. 9 a.m. to noon Saturday at the senior center at City Park, 115 S. Taylor Ave. in Montebello. 6:30-8:30 p.m. Wednesday, Nov. 14 at Potrero Heights Elementary School, 8026 East Hill Drive in Rosemead. 6:30-8:30 p.m. Thursday, Nov. 15 at the cafeteria of North Park Middle School, 4450 Durfee Ave. in Pico Rivera. Information: (213) 922-7456. – From staff reports 160Want local news?Sign up for the Localist and stay informed Something went wrong. Please try again.subscribeCongratulations! You’re all set!